Moving to a flat statutory rate of 4.25% (as in Michigan) increases output and household consumption by more than 2.4%, and the impact is greater when the rate is lower, for example, 3.05% as in Indiana or 2.50% as in Arizona.
Since the effective tax rate is higher than the statutory rate for most middleincome households due to the sliding scale standard deductions, moving to a flat effective rate of 4.25% requires a larger reduction in the second highest statutory rate and has a larger impact on output and household consumption.
When a larger share of government revenue is transferred back to households, it raises the disposable income for each dollar of gross income earned by a household. This has a positive effect on labor supply and the economy.