What changes
- Tutoring and the science of reading stay on top. The four experts' research backs both, as long as tutoring is delivered often and in small groups.
- Accountability jumps to third. Dee and Hanushek wrote two of the main studies showing that rating schools and requiring fixes raised test scores.
- Teacher quality moves up. Higher pay for strong teachers in high-poverty schools and removing the weakest teachers both rise.
- Money alone moves down. Bigger budgets, across-the-board raises, smaller classes and new textbooks without training all drop, because this group's research finds that how resources are used matters more than how much is spent.
The ideas, re-ranked
Higher effect is better; lower cost is better. Filled circles mark the 8 ideas whose ratings changed. An idea can move down without a rating change when others move up.
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1
Small group tutoring
Same placeEffect 5.7 (panel 6.0)Cost 5.2Kraft co-wrote the leading guide to high-dosage tutoring, and his research finds effects shrink as programs grow and sessions thin out. Kane has argued recovery efforts reached too few students at too low a dose. Still the top idea, but only when done at full strength.
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2
Science of reading
Same placeEffect 5.3Cost 3.2Dee's research with Sarah Novicoff found gains from California's early literacy reforms, which supports the panel's rating. No change.
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3
School accountability
Up 5Effect 5.0 (panel 4.3)Cost 2.8Two of the strongest studies on this question come from this group: Dee and Brian Jacob found No Child Left Behind raised math scores, and Hanushek and Margaret Raymond found state accountability raised NAEP gains.
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4
Higher pay in high-poverty schools
Up 1Effect 5.0 (panel 4.8)Cost 4.1Dee and James Wyckoff found that large bonuses under Washington, D.C.'s IMPACT system improved teacher performance and kept strong teachers. Hanushek has long argued pay should reward effectiveness.
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5
Fire teachers for underperformance
Up 4Effect 4.8 (panel 4.3)Cost 3.5 (panel 3.0)Hanushek estimates large gains from replacing the lowest-performing teachers, and Dee and Wyckoff found IMPACT's dismissal threat pushed low performers to improve or leave. Cost rises because Kraft found tougher evaluation rules shrank the supply of new teachers.
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6
Universal pre-K
Down 3Effect 4.8Cost 5.9No direct research from the four, so the panel rating stands.
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7
Expand access to advanced classes
Down 1Effect 4.7Cost 3.2No direct research from the four, so the panel rating stands.
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8
Student attendance data
Up 2Effect 4.0Cost 1.9No direct research from the four, so the panel rating stands.
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9
High-quality curriculum
Down 2Effect 4.0 (panel 4.5)Cost 3.0A Harvard study Kane co-led, Learning by the Book, found little average difference in math scores between textbooks when schools adopted them without training and support. The materials alone aren't enough.
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10
Increase per-student funding
Down 6Effect 4.0 (panel 4.8)Cost 6.5Hanushek's decades of research conclude that how money is spent matters far more than how much. Extra dollars raise scores only when spent on proven strategies.
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11
Screen time limits
Same placeEffect 3.9Cost 1.6No direct research from the four, so the panel rating stands.
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12
Restrict A.I. use
Same placeEffect 3.9Cost 1.7No direct research from the four, so the panel rating stands.
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13
Ban cellphones
Up 2Effect 3.7Cost 1.7No direct research from the four, so the panel rating stands.
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14
Increase mental health spending
Up 2Effect 3.5Cost 5.0No direct research from the four, so the panel rating stands.
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15
Increase all teacher pay
Down 2Effect 3.5 (panel 3.9)Cost 6.3Hanushek argues across-the-board raises are costly and don't target the teachers who make the biggest difference.
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16
Require full books
Up 1Effect 3.4Cost 1.6No direct research from the four, so the panel rating stands.
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17
Smaller class sizes
Down 3Effect 3.3 (panel 3.8)Cost 6.5Hanushek's reviews of class-size research find inconsistent gains outside of very small classes, at a very high cost.
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18
Private school vouchers
Same placeEffect 2.4Cost 5.1No direct research from the four, so the panel rating stands.
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19
Allow A.I. use
Same placeEffect 2.2Cost 2.6No direct research from the four, so the panel rating stands.
How this was made
The four experts are the highest-scoring panelists in our analysis: Tom Kane (9.5 of 10), followed by Matthew Kraft, Thomas Dee and Eric Hanushek (9 each). Sean Reardon also scored 9; the four chosen also rank highest when all four AI assistants' scores are averaged.
The Times published only the panel's combined ratings, not individual answers, so this is not how these four actually voted. It is our estimate: we changed a rating only where one of the four has published research directly on that idea, and kept the panel's rating everywhere else. The article lists ratings for 19 of the 30 ideas; the other 11 appear only in the Times' interactive table and are not included here.
Source: “30 Ideas for Fixing U.S. Schools, Ranked by Experts,” The New York Times, Sept. 28, 2026.